World
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?
27.5%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑4.0% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 27.5% probability of this happening.
Current probability
27.5%
24h
+8%
7d
+4%
volume
$52K
Closing date
Jan 1, 2027
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi