Politics
Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
86%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓10.3% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 86% probability of this happening.
Current probability
86%
24h
-12.6%
7d
-10.3%
volume
$62K
Closing date
Oct 25, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi