World
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
8.5%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓4.5% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 8.5% probability of this happening.
Current probability
8.5%
24h
+0.5%
7d
-4.5%
volume
$99K
Closing date
Jan 1, 2027
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi