Politics
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
65%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑33.0% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 65% probability of this happening.
Current probability
65%
24h
+32.5%
7d
+33%
volume
$63K
Closing date
Oct 28, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi