Tech & AI
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
4.5%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓65.0% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 4.5% probability of this happening.
Current probability
4.5%
24h
-78.5%
7d
-65%
volume
$57K
Closing date
Nov 1, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi