Politics
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%?
0.8%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑0.4% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 0.8% probability of this happening.
Current probability
0.8%
24h
-0.4%
7d
+0.4%
volume
$137K
Closing date
Oct 25, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi