World
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?
3.3%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓53.2% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 3.3% probability of this happening.
Current probability
3.3%
24h
-66.7%
7d
-53.2%
volume
$59K
Closing date
Nov 1, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi