World
Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
95.9%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑2.1% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 95.9% probability of this happening.
Current probability
95.9%
24h
+2.2%
7d
+2.1%
volume
$50K
Closing date
Oct 27, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi