Politics
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?
51%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓10.0% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 51% probability of this happening.
Current probability
51%
24h
-8.5%
7d
-10%
volume
$57K
Closing date
Dec 31, 2027
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi