Politics
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1.2%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑0.0% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 1.2% probability of this happening.
Current probability
1.2%
24h
0%
7d
0%
volume
$1.4M
Closing date
Nov 7, 2028
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi