World
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?
91.5%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑8.5% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 91.5% probability of this happening.
Current probability
91.5%
24h
+6%
7d
+8.5%
volume
$55K
Closing date
Nov 30, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi