World
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026?
57%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑0.0% this week
30 days agoToday
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Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 57% probability of this happening.
Current probability
57%
24h
0%
7d
0%
volume
$74K
Closing date
Nov 16, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi