World
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
92.6%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓1.9% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 92.6% probability of this happening.
Current probability
92.6%
24h
-1.9%
7d
-1.9%
volume
$1.0M
Closing date
Oct 23, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi