World
US imports Russian diesel by January 31?
19%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓2.0% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 19% probability of this happening.
Current probability
19%
24h
-2%
7d
-2%
volume
$79K
Closing date
Feb 1, 2027
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi