Politics
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?
5.1%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑0.7% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 5.1% probability of this happening.
Current probability
5.1%
24h
-3.8%
7d
+0.7%
volume
$106K
Closing date
Jan 1, 2027
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi