World
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?
36.5%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑18.0% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 36.5% probability of this happening.
Current probability
36.5%
24h
-2.5%
7d
+18%
volume
$70K
Closing date
Dec 31, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi