Tech & AI
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?
28.5%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑2.0% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 28.5% probability of this happening.
Current probability
28.5%
24h
-4.5%
7d
+2%
volume
$52K
Closing date
Feb 1, 2027
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi