Tech & AI
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?
60.5%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓4.0% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 60.5% probability of this happening.
Current probability
60.5%
24h
-3%
7d
-4%
volume
$81K
Closing date
Jan 1, 2028
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi