World
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?
50.5%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑14.0% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 50.5% probability of this happening.
Current probability
50.5%
24h
+4.5%
7d
+14%
volume
$50K
Closing date
Jan 1, 2027
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi