World
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?
88%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑20.5% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 88% probability of this happening.
Current probability
88%
24h
+22.5%
7d
+20.5%
volume
$63K
Closing date
Jul 1, 2027
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi