World
Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on November 5?
98.2%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑20.5% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 98.2% probability of this happening.
Current probability
98.2%
24h
+20.5%
7d
+20.5%
volume
$51K
Closing date
Nov 6, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi