predly
World

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?

56.5%

Market thinks YES

Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.

↑7.5% this week
30 days agoToday

Why did this change?

Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.

Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 56.5% probability of this happening.

Current probability

56.5%

24h

-4%

7d

+7.5%

volume

$74K

Closing date

Oct 30, 2026

Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi