World
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?
56.5%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑7.5% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 56.5% probability of this happening.
Current probability
56.5%
24h
-4%
7d
+7.5%
volume
$74K
Closing date
Oct 30, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi