predly
World

Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?

45.2%

Market thinks YES

Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.

↑26.9% this week
30 days agoToday

Why did this change?

Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.

Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 45.2% probability of this happening.

Current probability

45.2%

24h

+19.2%

7d

+26.9%

volume

$54K

Closing date

Nov 4, 2026

Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi