Politics
Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?
13%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓44.5% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 13% probability of this happening.
Current probability
13%
24h
+2%
7d
-44.5%
volume
$50K
Closing date
Nov 1, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi