World
Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?
1%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓1.6% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 1% probability of this happening.
Current probability
1%
24h
-1.1%
7d
-1.6%
volume
$57K
Closing date
Nov 1, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi