World
Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?
1.5%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓5.0% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 1.5% probability of this happening.
Current probability
1.5%
24h
+0.9%
7d
-5%
volume
$54K
Closing date
Nov 1, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi