World
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?
23%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑9.6% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 23% probability of this happening.
Current probability
23%
24h
+16.4%
7d
+9.6%
volume
$57K
Closing date
Jan 1, 2027
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi