World
Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?
97.6%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑48.1% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 97.6% probability of this happening.
Current probability
97.6%
24h
+23.1%
7d
+48.1%
volume
$56K
Closing date
Oct 31, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi