World
Paris curfew by October 21?
60.2%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑54.6% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 60.2% probability of this happening.
Current probability
60.2%
24h
+54.6%
7d
+54.6%
volume
$62K
Closing date
Oct 22, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi