World
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
1.9%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓2.6% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 1.9% probability of this happening.
Current probability
1.9%
24h
-2.5%
7d
-2.6%
volume
$318K
Closing date
Jan 1, 2027
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi