World
Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?
8.9%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓1.6% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 8.9% probability of this happening.
Current probability
8.9%
24h
+0.1%
7d
-1.6%
volume
$51K
Closing date
Jul 1, 2027
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi