World
Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?
29.5%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑1.0% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 29.5% probability of this happening.
Current probability
29.5%
24h
0%
7d
+1%
volume
$50K
Closing date
Jul 1, 2027
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi