World
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 19, 2026?
56.5%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓19.5% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 56.5% probability of this happening.
Current probability
56.5%
24h
-4%
7d
-19.5%
volume
$51K
Closing date
Nov 20, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi