Politics
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker of the House?
83%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓3.0% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 83% probability of this happening.
Current probability
83%
24h
-3%
7d
-3%
volume
$110K
Closing date
Jan 1, 2031
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi