World
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
1.9%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓3.1% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 1.9% probability of this happening.
Current probability
1.9%
24h
-1.5%
7d
-3.1%
volume
$85K
Closing date
Jan 1, 2027
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi