World
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?
33.8%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑24.4% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 33.8% probability of this happening.
Current probability
33.8%
24h
+29.9%
7d
+24.4%
volume
$70K
Closing date
Jan 1, 2027
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi