Politics
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
38%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑2.5% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 38% probability of this happening.
Current probability
38%
24h
-9%
7d
+2.5%
volume
$53K
Closing date
Oct 27, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi