World
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?
98.6%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑1.9% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 98.6% probability of this happening.
Current probability
98.6%
24h
+1.9%
7d
+1.9%
volume
$206K
Closing date
Nov 4, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi