World
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
97.6%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑2.0% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 97.6% probability of this happening.
Current probability
97.6%
24h
+2%
7d
+2%
volume
$134K
Closing date
Nov 3, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi