Politics
Israel Election: Arab party disqualified?
5%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑0.4% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 5% probability of this happening.
Current probability
5%
24h
+0.4%
7d
+0.4%
volume
$65K
Closing date
Nov 30, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi