World
Iran leadership change by November 30?
8.5%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑0.0% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 8.5% probability of this happening.
Current probability
8.5%
24h
0%
7d
0%
volume
$434K
Closing date
Dec 1, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi