World
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?
24%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓8.0% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 24% probability of this happening.
Current probability
24%
24h
-1.5%
7d
-8%
volume
$73K
Closing date
Dec 1, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi