World
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2027?
31%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑12.5% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 31% probability of this happening.
Current probability
31%
24h
-9%
7d
+12.5%
volume
$54K
Closing date
Jan 1, 2028
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi