World
Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?
6.6%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓4.9% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 6.6% probability of this happening.
Current probability
6.6%
24h
-0.1%
7d
-4.9%
volume
$53K
Closing date
Nov 1, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi