World
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?
33%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑9.5% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 33% probability of this happening.
Current probability
33%
24h
+1%
7d
+9.5%
volume
$61K
Closing date
Jan 1, 2027
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi