World
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?
35%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓5.5% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 35% probability of this happening.
Current probability
35%
24h
-5.5%
7d
-5.5%
volume
$56K
Closing date
Jan 1, 2027
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi