World
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?
9%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓2.1% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 9% probability of this happening.
Current probability
9%
24h
+1.3%
7d
-2.1%
volume
$53K
Closing date
Nov 1, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi