World
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?
10.2%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓8.1% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 10.2% probability of this happening.
Current probability
10.2%
24h
-8.1%
7d
-8.1%
volume
$53K
Closing date
Nov 2, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi