World
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?
14.5%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑2.0% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 14.5% probability of this happening.
Current probability
14.5%
24h
+4%
7d
+2%
volume
$57K
Closing date
Nov 6, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi