World
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?
3.9%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓5.6% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 3.9% probability of this happening.
Current probability
3.9%
24h
-4.3%
7d
-5.6%
volume
$74K
Closing date
Nov 6, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi